Every
year I publish a list of psychic predictions and post
them online. I believe that the success rate of these
predictions is around 80%. To me this is a rather successful
percentage of correct predictions. Skeptics however tend
to focus on the predictions that miss the mark and downplay
the successes. I'm not surprised by this behavior; such
skeptics have chosen to narrow their perspectives and
seem to find fulfillment in criticizing anything they
don't personally believe in. It's not my responsibility
to alter the opinions of skeptics and I usually find little
reason for responding to them.
So
what happens when I am wrong? Am I embarrassed or do I
become less confident in my abilities? The short answer
to these questions is no. As I have stated the success
rate of my predictions is around 80% and I am pleased
with that number. In fact I would be pleased even if the
number were much lower. Even skeptics would agree that
any number above 50% would be statistically significant.
Imagine a stock trader with an 80% success rate.
Some
people confuse psychics with prophets. Psychics do not
claim to be 100% right all the time. Psychics point out
possibilities of future events formed from on the basis
of intuitive insights. This is far removed from claiming
to know exactly what will happen in the future.
On those occasions that I am wrong about a long range
global prediction I do not worry much. I am more concerned
with the accuracy of the intuitive information that I
provide to my clients. I enjoy an extremely high rate
of return business from my customers and this speaks to
the accuracy of the information provided to them.